predictions differ from expert benchmarks. We elicit forecasts from 127 professional economists and a representative sample of 6 …-reported effort, and the use of structured reasoning, but remains well below expert levels. We show that scalable design features …, including the provision of well-calibrated numerical anchors and monetary incentives to rise effort, improve non-expert …

predictions differ from expert benchmarks. We elicit forecasts from 127 professional economists and a repre-sentative sample of 6 …, self-reported effort, and the use of structured reasoning, but remains well below expert levels. We show that scalable … non-expert predictions, with effects comparable in magnitude to tertiary education or structured reasoning. Our findings …

present in these environments, necessitating adaptive approaches. Methods: This study applies an Expert System based on … distribution hubs. Conclusions: This study highlights the potential of combining Expert Systems and Eτ Logic to enhance cargo …

expert should design verifiable advice - such as whether to commission a diagnostic test of different accuracy - when the …-Bayesian way. The expert both informs the agent about underlying risk and persuades the agent away from choices driven by bias. In … that the expert’s payoff need not be monotone in informativeness: intermediate information can reduce welfare relative to …