This paper presents a set of new core inflation measures for Brazil based on the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) method. The measures are based on the official target used in the Brazilian inflation targeting regime. The period of analysis ranges from the beginning of the inflation targeting...

The aim of this paper is to exact the most effective model at capturing the seasonal and short-term components of passenger traffic in Southwest Crete coastal shipping. There has been no similar effort in the past. The passenger traffic forecast is crucial for the public and private sector, as...

According to the efficient-market hypothesis, forecasts derived from efficient market prices should be unbeatable. However, numerous institutions, including the European Central Bank, regularly publish forecasts for future inflation that deviate from market expectations. We investigate the...

Predicting freeway traffic states is, so far, based on predicting speeds or traffic volumes with various methodological approaches ranging from statistical modeling to deep learning. Traffic on freeways, however, follows specific patterns in space-time, such as stop-and-go waves or mega jams....

Although there has been a growing interest by researchers worldwide over the past decades to identify the factors pertaining to corporate financial distress and to develop financial distress prediction models that serve as early warning signs to the various firm stakeholders, notably to date,...

Although it is notoriously difficult to utilize financial ratios to forecast the crude oil market prices, our study challenges this perception and reveals that the second risk premium principal component analysis (RP-PCA) factor may contain statistically significant information for both...