Brailsford, Timothy J.; Penm, H. W.; Terrel, R. D. - 2002
personal choices. In this paper, we present two procedures which can be used to select the forgetting factor in subset AR … modelling. The first procedure uses the bootstrap to determine the value of a fixed forgetting factor. The second procedure … starts from this base and applies the time-recursive maximum likelihood estimation to a variable forgetting factor. In one …