This paper asks whether a textbook Phillips curve can explain the behavior of core inflation in the euro area. A … critical feature of the analysis is that we measure core inflation with the weighted median of industry inflation rates, which … is less volatile than the common measure of inflation excluding food and energy prices. We find that fluctuations in core …

This paper investigates the forward-lookingness of monetary policy related to stabilising inflation over time under … transition path to the full-fledged inflation targeting regime. The analysis is based on an interest rate-based hybrid monetary …-looking monetary policy rule related to inflation stabilisation. The main results show that monetary policy is fully forward …

Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the … reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …

Evidence on the credibility of a central bank's inflation target typically refers to the anchoring of survey …-based measures of inflation expectations. However, both the survey question and the anchoring criteria are only loosely connected to … the actual inflation target used in monetary policy practice. By using the exact wording of the ECB's definition of price …