Search Results - subject:"Inflation expectations"

Comparison of inflation expectations from surveys and markets across different horizons

Elizondo, Rocio; Carrillo, Julio A. - 2026

This paper compares inflation expectations from surveys and financial markets for the short-, medium-, and long …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015644030

How heterogeneous are the inflation expectations?

Moučka, Jakub; Němec, Daniel - 2025

This paper investigates the heterogeneity of inflation expectations among households, firms, and professionals across …, highlighting the role of media in expectation formation. We find that inflation expectations became more backward-looking during … 14 economies. Using Bayesian model averaging and panel data regressions, we identify key determinants of inflation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015437353

The association between time discounting, hyperbolic discounting, and inflation expectations : evidence from large-scale survey data

Ogura, Kota; Yamaguchi, Manaka; Aizawa, Sakiho; Khan, … - 2026

Inflation expectations play a central role in monetary policy effectiveness, yet relatively little is known about how …, key dimensions of intertemporal preferences, are systematically associated with household inflation expectations. Using … large-scale survey data from Japan that elicit both time preference measures and qualitative inflation expectations, we …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015639017

Heterogeneity in the transmission of global shocks to the distribution of inflation expectations

Mello Costa, Miguel - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015550466

From global energy price shocks to firms' inflation expectations

Mello Costa, Miguel; Ponce, Jorge - 2026

firms' inflation expectations in an oil-importing country. The results show that the size and duration of the pass …-through depend crucially on the current local energy pricing policy. Hence, this policy affects the way firms form inflation … expectations. In turn, it may affect the intensity of the pass-through from global energy price shocks to domestic inflation. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015643985

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From global energy price shocks to firms' inflation expectations

Mello Costa, Miguel; Ponce, Jorge - 2024

Book / Working Paper

A new model of trend inflation using disaggregates, survey expectations, and uncertainty

Tallman, Ellis W.; Zaman, Saeed - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015619060

When global energy costs travel : domestic trade network channel to inflation expectations

Chronopoulos, Dimitris K.; Gül, Selçuk; Kazdal, Abdullah - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015568326

Wage-price links and inflation expectations : time-varying evidence from the US and UK

Korkos, Ioannis - 2026

Links between wages, prices, and inflation expectations are examined for the United States (US) and United Kingdom (UK …-causing wage inflation). Inflation expectations are predominantly adaptive - price inflation Granger-causes inflation expectations …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015653680

Upward bias in inflation perceptions: persistence, drivers, implications

Andre, Peter; Schaffranka, Claudia; Weber, Michael - 2026 - Manuscript completed in February 2026

This paper examines the persistent upward bias in euro area households' inflation perceptions and expectations, even when realized inflation is near the ECB's target. It discusses behavioural and informational drivers of this bias, its implications for consumption, wage setting, and monetary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015607760

Oil and petrol prices, inflation perceptions, and inflation expectations : evidence from New Zealand

Vatsa, Puneet - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015636658