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  • Search: subject:"Judgmental forecasting"
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Year of publication
Subject
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Judgmental forecasting 47 Forecasting model 45 Prognoseverfahren 45 Theorie 30 Theory 30 Forecast 18 Prognose 18 judgmental forecasting 11 Time series analysis 9 Zeitreihenanalyse 9 Demand 8 Nachfrage 8 Bayes-Statistik 7 Bayesian inference 7 Economic forecast 7 Wirtschaftsprognose 7 Decision 6 Entscheidung 6 Consumer behaviour 5 Konsumentenverhalten 5 Lieferkette 5 Supply chain 5 Bias 4 Demand forecasting 4 Demand uncertainty 4 Evaluating forecasts 4 Fashion products 4 Frühindikator 4 Leading indicator 4 Music industry 4 Sales forecasting 4 Systematischer Fehler 4 Time series 4 Algorithm 3 Algorithmus 3 Artificial intelligence 3 Behavioral operations 3 Experten 3 Experts 3 Fashion 3
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Online availability
All
Undetermined 37 Free 18
Type of publication
All
Article 52 Book / Working Paper 9
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 39 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 39 Working Paper 5 Arbeitspapier 4 Graue Literatur 4 Non-commercial literature 4 Aufsatz im Buch 2 Book section 2 Article 1 Aufsatzsammlung 1 research-article 1
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Language
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English 52 Undetermined 9
Author
All
Goodwin, Paul 7 Seifert, Matthias 6 Fildes, Robert 5 Hadida, Allègre L. 4 Satopää, Ville A. 4 Siemsen, Enno 4 Önkal, Dilek 4 Armstrong, J. Scott 3 Baets, Shari de 3 Graefe, Andreas 3 Green, Kesten C. 3 Harvey, Nigel 3 Nikolopoulos, Konstantinos I. 3 Petropoulos, Fotios 3 Abolghasemi, Mahdi 2 Adrian, Tobias 2 Baecke, Philippe 2 Du, Rui 2 Foltas, Alexander 2 Giannone, Domenico 2 Good, Darrel L. 2 Irwin, Scott H. 2 Isengildina-Massa, Olga 2 Kourentzes, Nikolaos 2 Lee, Yun Shin 2 Luciani, Matteo 2 Maaß, Dennis 2 Mellers, Barbara A. 2 Salikhov, Marat 2 Tetlock, Philip E. 2 Theocharis, Zoe 2 Vanderheyden, Karlien 2 West, Mike 2 Alvarado-Valencia, Jorge 1 Andersson, Patric 1 Ayton, Peter 1 Barrero, Lope H. 1 Basili, Marcello 1 Basten, Rob 1 Bearden, J. Neil 1
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Institution
All
Economics Institute for Research (SIR), Handelshögskolan i Stockholm 1 Society for Computational Economics - SCE 1 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 1
Published in...
All
International journal of forecasting 20 International Journal of Forecasting 4 Decision Analytics 2 European journal of operational research : EJOR 2 International journal of production economics 2 Judgment in Predictive Analytics 2 Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences 2 Omega : the international journal of management science 2 Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 1 Discussion papers / CEPR 1 EURO Journal on decision processes 1 European Journal of Marketing 1 European Journal of Operational Research 1 European journal of marketing : EJM 1 Finance and economics discussion series 1 HWWI Working Paper 1 HWWI working paper 1 International Series in Operations Research & Management Science 1 Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 1 Journal of business research : JBR 1 Journal of operations management 1 Journal of purchasing and supply management 1 Judgment and Decision Making 1 MPRA Paper 1 Operations research 1 Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 1 Organizational behavior and human decision processes : a journal of fundamental research and theory in applied psychology 1 Quaderni del Dipartimento di economia politica e statistica 1 Romanian journal of economic forecasting 1 SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Business Administration 1 The empirical economics letters : a monthly international journal of economics 1 Tourism economics : the business and finance of tourism and recreation 1
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Source
All
ECONIS (ZBW) 46 RePEc 11 EconStor 2 BASE 1 Other ZBW resources 1
Showing 1 - 10 of 61
Cover Image
Scenario synthesis and macroeconomic risk
Adrian, Tobias; Giannone, Domenico; Luciani, Matteo; … - 2025
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015437921
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An overview of the effects of algorithm use on judgmental biases affecting forecasting
Chacón, Álvaro; Kaufmann, Esther - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 2, pp. 424-439
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440406
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Light-touch forecasting : a novel method to combine human judgment with statistical algorithms
Staak, B. B. J. P. J. van der; Basten, Rob; Calseyde, … - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 2, pp. 440-451
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440410
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Humans vs. large language models : judgmental forecasting in an era of advanced AI
Abolghasemi, Mahdi; Ganbold, Odkhishig; Rotaru, Kristian - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 2, pp. 631-648
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440574
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Forecast value added in demand planning
Fildes, Robert; Goodwin, Paul; Baets, Shari de - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 2, pp. 649-669
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440577
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Guiding supervisors in artificial intelligence-enabled forecasting : understanding the impacts of salience and detail on decision-making
Khosrowabadi, Naghmeh; Hoberg, Kai; Lee, Yun Shin - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 2, pp. 716-732
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440639
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Inefficient forecast narratives: A BERT-based approach
Foltas, Alexander - 2025
This paper contributes to previous research on the efficient integration of forecasters' narratives into business cycle forecasts. Using a Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) model, I quantify 19,300 paragraphs from German business cycle reports (1998-2021) and use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015561821
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Bars, lines and points : the effect of graph format on judgmental forecasting
Reimers, Stian; Harvey, Nigel - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 1, pp. 44-61
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014450237
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Investigating laypeople's short- and long-term forecasts of COVID-19 infection cycles
Koo, Moon Su; Lee, Yun Shin; Seifert, Matthias - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 2, pp. 452-465
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440418
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Cover Image
Inefficient forecast narratives : a BERT-based approach
Foltas, Alexander - 2025
This paper contributes to previous research on the efficient integration of forecasters' narratives into business cycle forecasts. Using a Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) model, I quantify 19,300 paragraphs from German business cycle reports (1998-2021) and use...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015557960
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