This paper develops new forecasting methods for an old and ongoing problem by employing 13 machine learning algorithms to study 147 years of systemic financial crises across 17 countries. Findings suggest that fixed capital formation is the most important variable. GDP per capita and consumer...

The German economy is working its way out of the energy crisis. In recent months, the economic outlook has improved somewhat. However, overall economic production will increase only moderately. GDP is expected to increase by 0.5 percent in the current year and by 1.4 percent in 2024, slightly...