Easy to compute exact maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for parameters of a stochastic bivariate Itô Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model and for parameters of an extension that treats undercounting are presented here

Despite the growing interest in realized stochastic volatility models, their estimation techniques, such as simulated maximum likelihood (SML), are computationally intensive. Based on the realized volatility equation, this study demonstrates that, in a finite sample, the quasi-maximum likelihood...

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian quasi-likelihood function and it relies on the specification of a...

Insurance loss data are usually in the form of left-truncation and right-censoring due to deductibles and policy limits, respectively. This paper investigates the model uncertainty and selection procedure when various parametric models are constructed to accommodate such left-truncated and...

We explore a multi-asset jump-diffusion pricing model, combining a systemic risk asset with several conditionally independent ordinary assets. Our approach allows for analyzing and modeling a portfolio that integrates high-activity security, such as an exchange trading fund (ETF) tracking a...

This paper revisits the panel autoregressive model, with a primary emphasis on the unit-root case. We study a class of misspecified Random effects Maximum Likelihood (mRML) estimators when T is either fixed or large, and N tends to infinity. We show that in the unit-root case, for any fixed...

Logistic regression is a very popular binary classification technique in many industries, particularly in the financial service industry. It has been used to build credit scorecards, estimate the probability of default or churn, identify the next best product in marketing, and many more...

We propose a novel dynamic mixture vector autoregressive (VAR) model in which time-varying mixture weights are driven by the predictive likelihood score. Intuitively, the state weight of the k-th component VAR model in the subsequent period is increased if the current observation is more likely...