While causes and consequences of uncertainty in the US economy have attracted viable interest, the literature still lacks a consensus on several aspects. To name two matters of debate, it remains unclear whether uncertainty shocks are a source or the result of recessions and whether uncertainty...

Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction...

R&D and innovation studies often involve complex and highly uncertain tasks, which require experts to work together. This paper aims to investigate how collaboration affects the probability of success for an R&D (Research and Development) project while controlling some other factors or groups....