Abhyankar, Abhay; Sarno, Lucio; Valente, Giorgio - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2004
A major puzzle in international finance is the inability of models based on monetary fundamentals to produce better out … economic value to the predictive power of monetary fundamentals for the exchange rate. We estimate, using a framework that … rate forecasts from a monetary fundamentals model. In contrast to much previous research, we find that the economic value …