We provide a new perspective on disagreement in inflation expectations by examining the full probability distributions of UK consumer inflation forecasts based on an adaptive bootstrap multimodality test. Furthermore, we compare the inflation forecasts of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy...

Least squares cross-validation (CV) methods are often used for automated bandwidth selection. We show that they share a common structure which has an explicit asymptotic solution that we derive. Using the framework of density estimation, we consider unbiased, biased, and smoothed CV methods. We...

In this paper, a method for estimating monotone, convex and log-concave densities is proposed. The estimation procedure consists of an unconstrained kernel estimator which is modi?ed in a second step with respect to the desired shape constraint by using monotone rearrangements. It is shown that...

In this paper, a method for estimating monotone, convex and log-concave densities is proposed. The estimation procedure consists of an unconstrained kernel estimator which is modi?ed in a second step with respect to the desired shape constraint by using monotone rearrangements. It is shown that...

In Balabdaoui, Rufibach, and Wellner (2009), pointwise asymptotic theory was developed for the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of a log-concave density. Here, the practical aspects of their results are explored. Namely, the theory is used to develop pointwise confidence intervals for...

In this paper, we study the non-parametric estimation of the invariant density of some ergodic hamiltonian systems, using kernel estimators. The main result is a central limit theorem for such estimators under partial observation (only the positions are observed). The main tools are mixing...

We explore convenient analytic properties of distributions constructed as mixtures of scaled and shifted t-distributions. A feature that makes this family particularly desirable for econometric applications is that it possesses closed-form expressions for its anti-derivatives (e.g., the...