Turning the page -- On the use of dynamic models in economics -- What to do with uncertainties? -- Optimization in age-structured dynamic economic models -- A vindication of open-loop equilibria in differential games -- A linear state game of advertising à la Vidale-Wolfe -- The cost of myopia...

We consider an observation-driven location model where the unobserved location variable is modeled as a random walk process and where the error variable is from a mixture of normal distributions. The mixed normal distribution can approximate many continuous error distributions accurately. We...

This paper estimates the distribution-led regime of the US economy for the period 1947-2019. We use a time varying parameter model, which allows for changes in the regime over time. To the best of our knowledge this is the first paper that has attempted to do this. This innovation is important,...

Many studies have documented the missing relationship between PCE inflation and the labor market slack in the last 20 years. This paper first presents evidence of a strong sensitivity of price inflation to labor market tightness once we remove the late 90s from our sample and account for the...