Search Results - subject:"Prediction"

The virtue of transparency in sports analytics : an application to NFL quarterbacks

Czasonis, Megan; Kee, Miles; Kritzman, Mark; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015626687

Confidence revisited : the distribution of information

Czasonis, Megan; Kritzman, Mark; Liu, Fangzhong; … - 2025 - This version: October 17, 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015549742

Predicting stock market risk using machine learning classification models

Noh, Seol-Hyun - In: Risks : open access journal 14 (2026) 4, pp. 1-12

This study aims to predict stock market risk and improve preparedness for potential economic crises by identifying sharp declines in stock returns using classification-based machine learning models. Using ten years of KOSPI 200 index data (2015 to 2024), a daily return series was constructed. A...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015640349

Prediction with transparency : offensive value in Baseball

Czasonis, Megan; Kee, Miles; Kritzman, Mark; … - 2025 - This version November 5, 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015549740

How manipulable are prediction markets?

Rasooly, Itzhak; Rozzi, Roberto - 2025

In this paper, we conduct a large-scale field experiment to investigate the manipulability of prediction markets. The … whether the effects of these shocks persist over time. We find that prediction markets can be manipulated: the effects of our …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015372547

Learning from the data to predict the process : generalization capabilities of next activity prediction algorithms

Pfeiffer, Peter; Abb, Luka; Fettke, Peter; Rehse, … - In: Business & information systems engineering 67 (2025) 3, pp. 357-383

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015470801

Forecasting of natural gas based on a novel discrete grey seasonal prediction model with a time power term

Zhang, Jun; Shen, Chaofeng; Qin, Yanping; Chen, Jingyi - In: Energy strategy reviews 58 (2025), pp. 1-15

-intensive. To address this, a novel seasonal discrete grey prediction model with a time power term was developed based on grey … better monitoring system, increase investment in prediction research, and formulate smart policies. The energy industry and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015437371

ABC-based forecasting in misspecified state space models

Weerasinghe, Chaya; Loaiza-Maya, Rubén; Martin, Gael M.; … - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 1, pp. 270-289

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440307

A critical review of the use of R² in risk equalization research

Ven, Wynand P. van de; Kleef, Richard Cornelis van - In: The European journal of health economics 26 (2025) 3, pp. 363-375

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015394744

Will they stay or will they go? : application of machine learning classifiers of purchase and churn prediction to a digital journalistic platform

O'Brien, Daniel; Kunz, Reinhard E. - In: Journal of media business studies 22 (2025) 3, pp. 237-265

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015583553