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  • Search: subject:"Probabilities"
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Year of publication
Subject
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probabilities 205 Theorie 177 Theory 166 probability 157 Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung 155 Probability theory 154 equation 140 statistics 129 correlation 118 Economic models 102 equations 100 Risk 90 standard deviation 89 Risiko 87 transition probabilities 84 time series 78 statistic 74 survey 73 correlations 72 econometrics 69 Credit risk 68 Markov chain 65 covariance 65 samples 62 prediction 59 standard deviations 59 Markov-Kette 58 normal distribution 57 Decision under uncertainty 55 Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit 55 Schätzung 55 forecasting 55 standard errors 55 predictions 54 Estimation 50 subjective probabilities 48 probability distribution 45 calibration 43 autocorrelation 42 Transition probabilities 41
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Online availability
All
Free 687 Undetermined 411 CC license 14
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 630 Article 602 Other 6
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article in journal 282 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 282 Working Paper 194 Graue Literatur 104 Non-commercial literature 104 Arbeitspapier 103 Article 26 research-article 8 Thesis 5 review-article 3 Aufsatz im Buch 2 Book section 2 Collection of articles of several authors 2 Conference paper 2 Konferenzbeitrag 2 Sammelwerk 2 Collection of articles written by one author 1 Conference Paper 1 Congress Report 1 Festschrift 1 Hochschulschrift 1 Research Report 1 Sammlung 1
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Language
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English 745 Undetermined 473 Spanish 8 German 4 French 3 Portuguese 2 Czech 1 Hungarian 1 Romanian 1
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Author
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Karni, Edi 14 Bissonnette, Luc 13 Denton, Frank T. 13 Spencer, Byron G. 13 Hinloopen, Jeroen 11 Thibault, Emmanuel 11 Chan-Lau, Jorge A. 9 Fiaschi, Davide 8 Macchiarelli, Corrado 8 Michaud, Pierre-Carl 8 Tealdi, Cristina 8 Attanasi, Giuseppe 7 Tsangarides, Charalambos G. 7 Arulampalam, Wiji 6 Giraud, Raphaël 6 Haase, Felix 6 Hubrich, Kirstin 6 Hurd, Michael D. 6 Naylor, Robin A. 6 Ridder, Ad 6 Ward-Warmedinger, Melanie 6 Basurto, Miguel A. Segoviano 5 Baumeister, Christiane 5 D'Albis, Hippolyte 5 Espinoza, Raphael A. 5 Frederiksen, Anders 5 Soest, Arthur van 5 Soques, Daniel 5 Staub, Kevin E. 5 Weber, Martin 5 Albis, Hippolyte d’ 4 Arcidiacono, Peter 4 Barry, Peter J. 4 Berger, Arno 4 Blunch, Niels-Hugo 4 Bosetti, Valentina 4 Escalante, Cesar L. 4 Foster, Gigi 4 Fountain, John 4 Frijters, Paul 4
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Institution
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International Monetary Fund (IMF) 176 Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) 16 HAL 14 International Monetary Fund 13 Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of California-Berkeley 8 Tinbergen Institute 7 Tinbergen Instituut 7 Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 7 Department of Economics, McMaster University 6 Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University 5 International Actuarial Association / Actuarial Studies in Non-Life Insurance 5 Sonderforschungsbereich 649: Ökonomisches Risiko, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät 5 C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 4 EconWPA 4 London School of Economics (LSE) 4 Centre Interuniversitaire de Recherche en Analyse des Organisations (CIRANO) 3 Econometric Society 3 Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge 3 University of Bonn, Germany 3 Université Paris-Dauphine (Paris IX) 3 Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA 2 BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA 2 Banco de España 2 Banco de la Republica de Colombia 2 CESifo 2 Centre Interuniversitaire sur le Risque, les Politiques Économiques et l'Emploi (CIRPÉE) 2 Centre d'Économie de la Sorbonne, Université Paris 1 (Panthéon-Sorbonne) 2 Chaire de recherche Industrielle Alliance sur les enjeux économiques des changements démographiques 2 Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash Business School 2 Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra 2 Department of Economics, Oxford University 2 Department of Economics, University of Warwick 2 Dipartimento di Politica Economica, Finanza e Sviluppo (DEPFID), Facoltà di Economia "Richard M. Goodwin" 2 Dipartimento di Scienze Economico-Sociali e Matematico-Statistiche, Università degli Studi di Torino 2 Dipartimento di Scienze Statistiche "Paolo Fortunati", Alma Mater Studiorum - Università di Bologna 2 Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute 2 European Central Bank 2 Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam 2 Finance Discipline Group, Business School 2 Finance Research Centre, Oxford University 2
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Published in...
All
IMF Working Papers 165 IZA Discussion Papers 37 Management Science 15 Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 15 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 14 Discussion paper series / IZA 12 Statistics & Probability Letters 12 Insurance / Mathematics & economics 11 Theory and Decision 10 Casualty Actuarial Society - Publications 9 Economic Theory 9 IMF Staff Country Reports 9 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 9 Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute 8 Post-Print / HAL 8 TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research 8 Theory and decision : an international journal for multidisciplinary advances in decision science 8 Working Paper 8 Insurance: Mathematics and Economics 7 Scandinavian actuarial journal 7 Computational Statistics 6 Journal of economic behavior & organization : JEBO 6 MPRA Paper 6 Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics 5 CEPR Discussion Papers 5 CESifo Working Paper 5 Cahiers de recherche 5 Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 5 Finance and Stochastics 5 Journal of econometrics 5 Journal of economic theory 5 Natural Hazards 5 SFB 649 Discussion Paper 5 SFB 649 Discussion Papers 5 Stata Journal 5 Agricultural Finance Review 4 Astin bulletin : the journal of the International Actuarial Association 4 CESifo working papers 4 CUDARE Working Paper Series 4 Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series 4
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Source
All
RePEc 665 ECONIS (ZBW) 394 EconStor 119 BASE 26 Other ZBW resources 14 USB Cologne (business full texts) 13 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 7
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Showing 31 - 40 of 1,238
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A market for trading forecasts : a wagering mechanism
Raja, Aitazaz Ali; Pinson, Pierre; Kazempour, Jalal; … - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 1, pp. 142-159
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014450264
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Accelerating peak dating in a dynamic factor Markov-switching model
Os, Bram van; Dijk, Dick van - In: International journal of forecasting 40 (2024) 1, pp. 313-323
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014450273
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Random Forest estimation of the ordered choice model
Lechner, Michael; Okasa, Gabriel - In: Empirical Economics 68 (2024) 1, pp. 1-106
proposed Ordered Forest flexibly estimates the conditional choice probabilities while taking the ordering information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015400905
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Random Forest estimation of the ordered choice model
Lechner, Michael; Okasa, Gabriel - In: Empirical Economics 68 (2024) 1, pp. 1-106
proposed Ordered Forest flexibly estimates the conditional choice probabilities while taking the ordering information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015407533
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Navigating Ambiguity: Imprecise Probabilities and the Updating of Disease Risk Beliefs
Kerwin, Jason; Pandey, Divya - 2023
their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is … can map our data onto both a standard Bayesian model and a version that is designed to handle imprecise probabilities …; these models can match some features of our data but not all of them. Imprecise probabilities have important implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469382
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What does the CDS market imply for a U.S. default?
Benzoni, Luca; Cabanilla, Christian; Cocco, Alessandro; … - 2023
As the debt ceiling episode unfolds, we highlight a sharp increase in activity across the U.S. credit default swaps (CDS) market and infer the likelihood of a U.S. default from these market prices. Beginning in January 2023, we document a significant increase in U.S. CDS trading activity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480354
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Navigating ambiguity : imprecise probabilities and the updating of disease risk beliefs
Kerwin, Jason; Pandey, Divya - 2023
their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is … can map our data onto both a standard Bayesian model and a version that is designed to handle imprecise probabilities …; these models can match some features of our data but not all of them. Imprecise probabilities have important implications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390526
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Arrow-Pratt-type measure of ambiguity aversion
Hara, Chiaki - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382515
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Local bias adjustment, duration-weighted probabilities, and automatic construction of tariff cells
Lindholm, M.; Lindskog, F.; Palmquist, J. - In: Scandinavian actuarial journal 2023 (2023) 10, pp. 946-973
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014384031
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Stochastic optimal growth through state-dependent probabilities
La Torre, Davide; Marsiglio, Simone; Mendivil, Franklin; … - 2023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388494
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