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  • Search: subject:"Prognose"
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Year of publication
Subject
All
Prognoseverfahren 20,112 Forecasting model 19,893 Prognose 14,397 USA 11,544 United States 11,228 Theorie 10,364 Theory 10,322 Forecast 9,425 Wirtschaftsprognose 6,774 Economic forecast 6,632 Deutschland 3,955 Schätzung 3,524 Estimation 3,499 Zeitreihenanalyse 3,108 Time series analysis 3,032 Germany 2,867 Welt 2,590 World 2,541 Frühindikator 1,956 Leading indicator 1,954 Kapitaleinkommen 1,948 Capital income 1,944 Bevölkerungsprognose 1,812 Volatilität 1,812 Population forecasting 1,798 Volatility 1,779 Börsenkurs 1,546 Share price 1,533 Wirtschaftswachstum 1,407 EU-Staaten 1,400 EU countries 1,368 Economic growth 1,310 Inflation 1,308 Wechselkurs 1,206 Exchange rate 1,167 Wirtschaftslage 1,058 Macroeconomic performance 1,050 Bevölkerungsentwicklung 1,005 VAR-Modell 919 Geldpolitik 910
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Online availability
All
Free 7,171 Undetermined 4,159
Type of publication
All
Article 21,231 Book / Working Paper 19,793 Journal 873 Other 1
Type of publication (narrower categories)
All
Article in journal 16,825 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 16,825 Graue Literatur 11,071 Non-commercial literature 11,071 Working Paper 7,537 Arbeitspapier 7,322 Aufsatz im Buch 2,617 Book section 2,617 Hochschulschrift 1,336 Collection of articles of several authors 1,323 Sammelwerk 1,323 Amtsdruckschrift 1,268 Government document 1,268 Thesis 979 Konferenzschrift 766 Statistik 710 Statistics 518 Conference proceedings 449 Aufsatzsammlung 389 Bibliografie enthalten 254 Bibliography included 254 Advisory report 252 Gutachten 252 Dissertation u.a. Prüfungsschriften 249 No longer published / No longer aquired 217 Collection of articles written by one author 207 Sammlung 207 Mehrbändiges Werk 134 Multi-volume publication 134 Article 133 Conference paper 114 Konferenzbeitrag 114 Lehrbuch 112 Forschungsbericht 107 Market information 103 Marktinformation 103 Systematic review 97 Übersichtsarbeit 97 Commentary 88 Kommentar 88
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Language
All
English 29,647 German 6,644 Undetermined 2,307 French 1,002 Russian 700 Spanish 433 Polish 297 Italian 179 Dutch 149 Czech 121 Hungarian 107 Slovak 107 Portuguese 74 Croatian 68 Swedish 62 Norwegian 40 Danish 33 Romanian 32 Bulgarian 31 Ukrainian 30 Slovenian 25 Finnish 24 Arabic 16 Serbian 12 Afrikaans 10 Lithuanian 10 Malay (macrolanguage) 8 Japanese 6 Estonian 5 Macedonian 5 Modern Greek (1453-) 4 Indonesian 3 Chinese 3 Valencian 2 Kazakh 2 Multiple languages 2 Amharic 1 Bosnian 1 Galician 1 Hebrew 1
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Author
All
Marcellino, Massimiliano 159 Franses, Philip Hans 152 Timmermann, Allan 126 Clements, Michael P. 111 McAleer, Michael 106 Gupta, Rangan 99 Diebold, Francis X. 98 Pesaran, M. Hashem 86 Ravazzolo, Francesco 82 Pierdzioch, Christian 81 Clark, Todd E. 79 Giannone, Domenico 74 Rossi, Barbara 74 Kilian, Lutz 69 Fildes, Robert 67 Hendry, David F. 67 McCracken, Michael W. 66 Dijk, Dick van 64 Swanson, Norman R. 63 Kapetanios, George 62 Hyndman, Rob J. 61 Richardson, James W. 60 Ruelke, Jan-Christoph 60 Outlaw, Joe L. 59 Siliverstovs, Boriss 56 Raulston, J. Marc 55 Lahiri, Kajal 52 Fritsche, Ulrich 50 Knapek, George M. 50 Koopman, Siem Jan 50 Makridakis, Spyros G. 49 Dijk, Herman K. van 48 McMillan, David G. 48 Baghestani, Hamid 47 Mitchell, James 47 Wolfers, Justin 47 Granger, C. W. J. 46 Stekler, Herman O. 46 Härdle, Wolfgang 44 Koop, Gary 44
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Institution
All
Bundesstelle für Außenhandelsinformation <Köln> 157 Bundesagentur für Außenwirtschaft 139 Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der Gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung 90 OECD 65 Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 45 International Energy Agency 45 Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 45 Schweiz / Bundesamt für Statistik 34 Europäische Kommission 32 Weltbank 31 Prognos AG 27 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 26 Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development 24 Institut für Höhere Studien und Wissenschaftliche Forschung 22 Institut für Weltwirtschaft 22 Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle 22 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Wirtschaft und Finanzen 20 Hamburgisches WeltWirtschaftsInstitut 19 Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden GmbH 19 Arbeitskreis Konjunktur des IWH 18 Asian Development Bank 18 European University Institute / Department of Law 18 Jerome Levy Economics Institute 18 European University Institute / Department of Economics 17 Internationaler Währungsfonds 17 Niederlande / Centraal Planbureau 17 Vereinte Nationen / Department of International Economic and Social Affairs 17 Berenberg-Bank 16 Frankreich / Commissariat Général du Plan 16 Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung 16 Sonderforschungsbereich Ökonomisches Risiko <Berlin> 16 Travel Industry Association of America 16 Wiener Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsvergleiche 16 World Tourism Organization 16 Europäische Kommission / Generaldirektion Landwirtschaft 15 FAO 15 Institut National de Statistique <Brüssel> 15 Texas A&M University / Agricultural and Food Policy Center 15 Vereinte Nationen / Department of Economic and Social Affairs / Population Division 15 Association of European Conjuncture Institutes 14
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Published in...
All
International journal of forecasting 960 Journal of forecasting 656 Working paper / National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. 431 Discussion paper / Centre for Economic Policy Research 303 Technological forecasting & social change : an international journal 298 Studies on Russian economic development : the official journal of the Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences 234 Applied economics 233 Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a publication of the American Statistical Association 180 Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute 168 Economics letters 160 Energy economics 158 Journal of econometrics 157 Economic modelling 154 Working paper series / European Central Bank 152 Mitteilungen aus der Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung 149 Applied economics letters 148 European journal of operational research : EJOR 141 Working paper 138 Empirical economics : a journal of the Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna, Austria 137 Journal of banking & finance 135 Applied financial economics 117 Journal of empirical finance 117 Ifo-Schnelldienst 116 Journal of applied econometrics 112 Monatsberichte / WIFO, Österreichisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung 111 CESifo working papers 101 Advances in business and management forecasting 97 Econometric Institute research papers 95 The review of financial studies 91 Finance and economics discussion series 89 Management science : journal of the Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences 88 WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports) 86 Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 85 International journal of production economics 83 Wirtschaftsdienst : Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik 83 International review of financial analysis 78 The review of economics and statistics 78 Economic review 76 Journal of international money and finance 76 Working paper / Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics, Monash University 76
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Source
All
ECONIS (ZBW) 39,010 USB Cologne (EcoSocSci) 2,003 EconStor 445 RePEc 338 USB Cologne (business full texts) 75 BASE 10 ArchiDok 9 OLC EcoSci 8
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Showing 1 - 10 of 41,898
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Econometric modeling and forecasting of interest rates in Montenegro
Pejović, Bojan; Karadži, Vesna - In: Economic analysis : EA 53 (2020) 1, pp. 72-83
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012238470
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Equal predictability test for multi-step-ahead system forecasts invariant to linear transformations
Hungnes, Håvard - 2020
The paper derives a test for equal predictability of multi-step-ahead system forecasts that is invariant to linear transformations. The test is a multivariate version of the Diebold-Mariano test. An invariant metric for multi-step-ahead system forecasts is necessary as the conclusions otherwise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225087
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Forecasting macroeconomic risks
Adams, Patrick A.; Adrian, Tobias; Boyarchenko, Nina; … - 2020
We construct risks around consensus forecasts of real GDP growth, unemployment, and inflation. We find that risks are time-varying, asymmetric, and partly predictable. Tight financial conditions forecast downside growth risk, upside unemployment risk, and increased uncertainty around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012167481
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Real-time forecasting using mixed-frequency VARs with time-varying parameters
Heinrich, Markus; Reif, Magnus - 2020
This paper provides a detailed assessment of the real-time forecast accuracy of a wide range of vector autoregressive models (VAR) that allow for both structural change and indicators sampled at different frequencies. We extend the literature by evaluating a mixed-frequency time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012154665
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Forecast performance in the ECB SPF : ability or chance?
Meyler, Aidan - 2020
In this paper, we consider whether differences in the forecast performance of ECB SPF respondents reflect ability or chance. Although differences in performance metrics sometimes appear substantial, it is challenging to determine whether they reflect ex ante skill or other factors impacting ex...
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156473
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Does more expert adjustment associate with less accurate professional forecasts?
Franses, Philip Hans; Welz, Max - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 13 (2020) 3/44, pp. 1-7
Professional forecasters can rely on an econometric model to create their forecasts. It is usually unknown to what extent they adjust an econometric model-based forecast. In this paper we show, while making just two simple assumptions, that it is possible to estimate the persistence and variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174156
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Forecasting the Covid-19 recession and recovery : lessons from the financial crisis
Foroni, Claudia; Marcellino, Massimiliano; Stevanović, … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228547
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Semi-structural forecasting model
Arroyo Marioli, Francisco; Bullano, Francisco; Fornero, … - 2020
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012249418
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Nowcasting Finnish GDP growth using financial variables : a MIDAS approach
Laine, Olli-Matti; Lindblad, Annika - 2020
We analyse the performance of financial market variables in nowcasting Finnish quarterly GDP growth. Especially, we assess if prediction accuracy is affected by the sampling frequency of the financial variables. Therefore, we apply MIDAS models that allow us to forecast quarterly GDP growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214415
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Automatic time series modeling and forecasting: a replication case study of forecasting real GDP, the unemployment rate and the impact of leading economic indicators
Guerard, John Baynard; Thomakos, Dimitrios D.; Kyriazi, … - In: Cogent economics & finance 8 (2020) 1, pp. 1-20
We test and report on time series modelling and forecasting using several US. Leading economic indicators (LEI) as an input to forecasting real US. GDP and the unemployment rate. These time series have been addressed before, but our results are more statistically significant using more recently...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012214684
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