It is a common practice in recursively dynamic CGE models to maintain static expectations. Consequently, investors take current rates of return as expected future rates of return. The vexing problem with this approach is that no matter how we allocate investments across sectors and regions in...

Purpose – The Ethiopian economy is characterized by erratic and poor performance with negative growth rates, seven times over the period 1981-2010. This trapped per capita income at 358 USD in 2010 staying far away from middle-income country status. A lot of unsolved debates regarding...

The present paper focuses on medium-term effects of alternative windfall management strategies for a resource abundant country where the resource revenues are expected to last over a prolonged period. In particular, the trade-off between spending and saving is analyzed within the framework of a...