Wirtschaftliche Kennzahlen wie das Wirtschaftswachstum sind wichtige Indikatoren zur Bewertung politischer Entscheidungsträger. In den USA hatten Präsidenten der demokratischen Partei höhere Wachstumsraten als die der republikanischen Partei. Dieser Artikel untersucht den Zusammenhang...

This paper explores the global incumbency advantage. We first show that existing subnational estimates of the incumbency advantage correlate positively with GDP per capita and democratic quality, and negatively with corruption across countries. Building on this meta-analysis, we then consider...

This paper empirically analyses the relationship between political leaders’ socioeconomic backgrounds and public budget deficits utilising panel data on 21 OECD countries from 1980 to 2008. Building on sociological, as well as economic, research, we argue that the socioeconomic status of...

In most national elections, voters face a key choice between continuity and change. Electoral turnovers occur when the incumbent candidate or party fails to win reelection. To understand how turnovers affect national outcomes, we study the universe of presidential and parliamentary elections...

We report a large-scale randomized controlled trial designed to assess whether the partisan cue of a provaccine message from Donald Trump would induce Americans to get COVID-19 vaccines. Our study involved presenting a 27-second advertisement to millions of U.S. YouTube users in October 2021....