Allayioti, Anastasia; Arioli, Rodolfo; Bates, Colm; … - 2024
This paper looks back on the 25-year history of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). Since its launch in … unemployment rate - the track record of the ECB SPF in forecasting has been broadly comparable to that of the Eurosystem. In …) underlying SPF expectations and an analysis and assessment of measures of macroeconomic uncertainty. Technical assumptions are …