Guidolin, Massimo; Ionta, Serena - In: Econometrics : open access journal 13 (2025) 2, pp. 1-36
Nelson-Siegel model, which effectively captures the three dimensions of the yield curve. To forecast the factors, we applied … assess the comparative forecast accuracy. We found that Nelson-Siegel factors had significant predictive power for one …, neither the AR(1) nor VAR(1) models based on Nelson-Siegel factors outperformed the benchmarks. These results suggest that the …