According to the IMF, the current public debt makes up nearly 40 percent of the global debt, marking the highest share since the mid-1960s. Despite the vast research on alarming levels of sovereign default, the literature remains inconclusive. This paper investigates macroeconomic, financial,...

Recent developments, outlook, and risks. Kosovo's economy has continued to perform well, despite a challenging external environment. Real GDP growth moderated to 3¼ percent in 2023 amid subdued external demand. Inflation has decelerated sharply, reaching 2 percent y/y in the first quarter of...

Following the completion of a 27-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement in December 2022, political uncertainty, a security crisis, and exogenous shocks to oil revenue and interest rates led to a sharp macroeconomic and fiscal deterioration. The authorities implemented swift and bold...

The Rwandan economy continues its robust growth, notwithstanding the challenging external environment, repeated shocks, and ongoing fiscal consolidation. Headline inflation decelerated sharply in recent months owing to appropriately tight monetary policy stance and favorable developments in food...

A political crisis in December 2023 resulted in another change in the government. In December 2023, the former Minister of Finance and Secretary of State of Treasury from the opposition-led government were arrested over corruption charges related to settlement of cross-arrears and NPLs of the...

On December 18, 2023, the explosion of a major fuel import and storage facility led to fuel shortages and new urgent financing needs. The blast caused 25 deaths and 457 injured as well as widespread fuel shortages, affecting transportation and economic activity. The relatively strong mining...

The signs of economic stabilization are strengthening, with gradual disinflation underway and external pressures easing further since the first review on the back of improved fiscal balances. However, the outlook remains challenging, with downside risks remaining exceptionally high

Over the last decade, Nigeria's growth has just about kept up with population dynamics. Poverty has increased, and food insecurity is rising. The government is constrained by low domestic revenue mobilization. Governance problems remain pervasive. The external environment-cost of...

Colombia's very strong policies and policy frameworks have helped to significantly reduce domestic and external imbalances and brought the economy to more sustainable levels of activity and demand. Market confidence has improved, but risk premia remain high compared to peers. The authorities...