Misperception of long-term care (LTC) risk may distort insurance and saving decisions. Comparing older Americans' subjective probabilities of nursing home entry with realized outcomes, we find LTC risk perceptions are inaccurate, partly due to inappropriate weighting of risk factors insurers can...

We use inflation and income growth expectations from the ECB Consumer Expectations Survey to measure the subjective expected pass-through of inflation to income in the main euro area countries. By aggregating consumers' responses to probabilistic questions, we obtain significantly higher...