This study applies machine learning methods to predict the Canadian yield curve using a comprehensive set of macroeconomic variables. Lagged values of the yield curve and a wide array of Canadian and international macroeconomic variables are utilized across various machine learning models....

In response to the scarce evidence regarding herd behaviour in emerging and frontier debt markets, this paper investigates the potential mispricing of MENA sovereign risk. We explore whether this mispricing results from international investor herding, where MENA debt assets are collectively...

This study estimates the zero-coupon yield curves for Turkish government nominal bonds from February 2005 to June 2022 using the Nelson-Siegel-Svensson parametric model. We implement a weighting scheme in the objective function, where squared pricing errors are weighted by the inverse of the...

Empirical monetary policy shocks (EMPS) contain information about monetary policy both today and in the future. We define the term structure of monetary policy news as the marginal impact of an EMPS on the policy residual at each horizon. Policy news at different horizons has different effects,...