This study examines the dynamics of economic freedom in nine advanced democracies in comparison to China over the 1970-2022 period. Using data from the Fraser Institute and the Manifesto Project Database, we apply a Bayesian time-series methodology to identify three key patterns. First, economic...

Identifying at-risk populations is essential for designing effective energy poverty interventions. Using data from the HILDA Survey, a longitudinal dataset representative of the Australian population, and a multidimensional index of energy poverty, we develop a machine learning model combined...

Economically, all countries seek sustained growth driven by domestic demand, investment, and exports; however, COVID-19 revealed the vulnerability of interconnected economic systems and a sharp contraction in global trade. The objective of this research is to analyze through an econometric model...

This paper examines the dynamic relationship between economic indicators, law enforcement mechanisms, and property-related crimes in Mongolia using a time-series econometric approach. Relying on the theoretical frameworks of Becker’s economic model of crime and Cantor and Land’s...

The increasing interaction between the equity market and cryptocurrencies has raised concerns about volatility spillovers; however, empirical evidence about sectoral-specific spillover effects in emerging markets is scarce and hard to find. Existing research mainly concentrates on developed...

Volatility forecasting for financial institutions plays a pivotal role across a wide range of domains, such as risk management, option pricing, and market making. For instance, banks can incorporate volatility forecasts into stress testing frameworks to ensure they are holding sufficient capital...

This study aims to identify the primary factors influencing the demand for money in Indonesia and to provide forecasts through 2033. The research employs two methodologies: time series econometrics and machine learning, utilizing data spanning from the first quarter of 2010 (2010Q1) to the...