In this paper, we suggest a Bayesian multivariate approach for pricing a reverse mortgage, allowing for house price risk, interest rate risk and longevity risk. We adopt the principle of maximum entropy in risk-neutralisation of these three risk components simultaneously. Our numerical results...

In this paper, we suggest a Bayesian multivariate approach for pricing a reverse mortgage, allowing for house price risk, interest rate risk and longevity risk. We adopt the principle of maximum entropy in risk-neutralisation of these three risk components simultaneously. Our numerical results...

We explore whether a protective role for savings against future financial hardship exists using household level panel data. We jointly model the incidence and extent of financial problems, as well as the likelihood of having secured debt and the amount of monthly secured debt repayments,...

We explore whether a protective role for savings against future financial hardship exists using household level panel data. We jointly model the incidence and extent of financial problems, as well as the likelihood of having secured debt and the amount of monthly secured debt repayments,...

We formalise and present an innovative general approach for developing complex system models from survey data by applying Bayesian Networks. The challenges and approaches to converting survey data into usable probability forms are explained and a general approach for integrating expert knowledge...