Search Results - subject:"belief updating"

Aina, Chiara; Schneider, Florian - 2025

We study how individuals update their beliefs in the presence of competing datagenerating processes, or models, that could explain observed data. Through experiments, we identify the weights participants assign to different models and find that the most common updating rule gives full weight to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015361386

Weighting Competing Models

Aina, Chiara; Schneider, Florian H. - 2025

We study how individuals update their beliefs in the presence of competing data-generating processes, or models, that could explain observed data. Through experiments, we identify the weights participants assign to different models and find that the most common updating rule gives full weight to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015398906

College application choices in a repeated Deferred Acceptance (DA) Setting: Empirical evidence from Croatia

Kovač, Dejan; Neilson, Christopher A.; Raith, Johanna - 2025

How do beliefs on admission probability influence application choices? In this study, we empirically investigate whether and how admission probability is reflected in application choices in a centralized admission system. We exploit a novel setting of a dynamic deferred acceptance mechanism as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015416738

Belief Updating About Moral Norms: Does Group Identity Matter?

Dickinson, David L.; Villeval, Marie Claire - 2025

We investigate how group identity affects belief updating about moral norms. Using a Belief Updating task, we found … that individuals follow a cautious version of Bayesian updating. Group identity itself does not directly affect belief … updating. However, when given an information signal about the truthfulness of a normative statement that is dissonant with one …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015422988

College application choices in a repeated Deferred Acceptance (DA) Setting : empirical evidence from Croatia

Kovač, Dejan; Neilson, Christopher A.; Raith, Johanna - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015416615

Are more heads more motivated than one? : the role of communication in group belief updating

Xue, Nina; Gangadharan, Lata; Grossman, Philip Johnson - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015418792

Pricing in response to new information : the case of betting markets

Fischer, Kai; Schmal, Wolfgang Benedikt - In: Economic inquiry 63 (2025) 1, pp. 236-264

Markets are information aggregators. But how do they incorporate new data into their pricing? We examine the response of prediction markets to a novel information shock in a quasi-natural experiment: How did the absence announcements of elite soccer players influence the betting odds of affected...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015398315

Belief updating about moral norms: does group identity matter?

Dickinson, David L.; Villeval, Marie-Claire - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015402628

Belief updating about moral norms : does group identity matter?

Dickinson, David L.; Villeval, Marie-Claire - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015402754

Weighting competing models

Aina, Chiara; Schneider, Florian - 2025

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015333403