Global commodity prices spikes can have strong macroeconomic effects, par- ticularly in developing countries. This paper estimates the global commodity prices pass-through to consumer price inflation in Africa. Our sample includes monthly data for 48 countries over the period 2002m02-2021m04. We...

Futures trading is one of the oldest trading methods and investing in commodities. History of commodities futures trading in India is interrupted, flabbergasted and disrupted, unlike commodities future trading in Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), or London Metal...

We study the impact of commodity terms of trade (CToT) volatility on long-term economic growth and its drivers as well as on inflation, in a sample of 118 countries over 1970-2019, including 69 commodity exporters. Our econometric approaches account for bi-directional feedback effects,...

We consider a simple, two period, consumption-savings model with future income uncertainty that examines the interplay of savings, precautionary savings, loss aversion, and risk. We provide the relevant theory, followed by empirical tests based on subject-specific choices, and the measurement of...

This paper analyses the evolution of innovation in the mining sector and how this innovation responds to the economic environment, in particular to changes in commodity prices. For this purpose, we combine commodity price data with innovation data as proxied by patent filings extracted from a...

COVID-19 has thrown a stark, harsh light on the world’s economy and has had a significant impact on monetary policies worldwide. In China, the economy is entering a new normal, and the effect of monetary policy on agricultural commodity prices has induced noticeable structural changes. The...

Consumer prices have increased in Japan since the pandemic began, when commodity prices increased worldwide. This study investigates commodity price pass-through into inflation in the low and high inflation regimes in Japan. By estimating the threshold autoregressive model that considers past...

This paper examines factors that affect the transmission of fluctuations in global agricultural commodity prices to domestic food inflation. Using panel regressions on data from 53 advanced and emerging-market countries, we investigate how factors such as local crop production conditions, the...