This paper proposes new specification tests for conditional models with discrete responses. In particular, we can test the static and dynamic ordered choice model specifications, which is key to apply efficient maximum likelihood methods, to obtain consistent estimates of partial effects and to...

Despite declines in US smoking rates tobacco remains among the leading causes of preventable deaths in the US and is directly linked to chronic and mortal diseases including cancers and heart disease. With a focus on youth smoking behaviors, this paper considers contributory influences for two...

We derive multivariate risk neutral asset distributions for major US nancial institutions (FIs) using option implied marginal risk neutral asset distributions (RNDs) and probabili- ties of default (PoDs). The multivariate densities are estimated by combining the entropy approach, dynamic copulas...

In this work we suggest a methodology to obtain the membership of a non observable parameter through implicit information. To this aim we profit from the interpretation of membership functions as coherent conditional probabilities. We develop full details for the well known Black and Scholes...