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Business 1 accuracy 1 causal forces 1 combining forecasts 1 consistent trends 1 contrary series 1 cycles 1 damped trends 1 decay forces 1 decomposition 1 discontinuities 1 expert systems 1 exponential smoothing 1 extrapolation 1 growth forces 1 inconsistent trends 1 instabilities 1 judgment 1 opposing forces 1 outliers 1 regressing forces 1 reinforcing series 1 start-up series 1 supporting forces 1
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Adya, Monica 1 Armstrong, J. Scott 1 Collopy, Fred 1
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Rule-Based Forecasting: Using domain knowledge in time series extrapolation
Armstrong, J. Scott; Adya, Monica; Collopy, Fred - 2001
Rule-Based Forecasting (RBF) is an expert system that uses judgment to develop and apply rules for combining extrapolations. The judgment comes from two sources, forecasting expertise and domain knowledge. Forecasting expertise is based on more than a half century of research. Domain knowledge...
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