Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Contents -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- Chapter 1 Models for Discontinuous Markets -- Risk Models and Model Risk -- Time-Invariant Models and Crisis -- Ergodic Stationarity in Classical Time Series Analysis -- Recalibration Does Not Overcome the Limits of a...

Accumulation is a fundamental process in dynamic systems: inventory accumulates production less shipments; the national debt accumulates the federal deficit. Effective decision making in such systems requires an understanding of the relationship between stocks and the flows that alter them....

The aim of the paper is to propose a preferences representation model under risk where risk perception can be past experience dependent. A first step consists in considering a one period decision problem where individual preferences are no more defined only on decisions but on pairs (decision,...

This paper considers a two-stage sequential investment problem where the principal wishes to cancel the project if it fails in the first stage. Suppose that only the first-stage agent can observe the outcome in the first stage. There are two organizational forms to choose from: integration,...

This paper explores the value of memory in decision making in dynamic environments. We examine the decision problem faced by an agent with bounded memory who receives a sequence of signals from a partially observable Markov decision process. We characterize environments in which the optimal...