This paper argues that considerable switches in monetary policy are able to explain a major part of the forward discount puzzle. We build a theoretical model suggesting that violations of the uncovered interest rate parity are owed to shifts in monetary policy from a destabilizing (when the...

The impact of the subjective variables specific to individual financial well being on economic outcomes is considered whether they are able to predict the growth of household consumption. Subjective variables include more information that is difficult to be identified or valued in previous...

The highly disputed effects of agricultural trade liberalisation are mostly simulated with static models. Our main objective in this paper is to evaluate the robustness of the static simulation results to the consistent modelling of dynamic behaviours and to the linked specification of...

This paper is an empirical study of the properties of the term structure of interest rates. It tests statistically to what extent the forward interest rates that are implicit in the term structure can be used as a forecast of the future interest rates, i.e. it tests what is known as the...