Easy to compute exact maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for parameters of a stochastic bivariate Itô Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model and for parameters of an extension that treats undercounting are presented here

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian quasi-likelihood function and it relies on the specification of a...

This paper revisits the panel autoregressive model, with a primary emphasis on the unit-root case. We study a class of misspecified Random effects Maximum Likelihood (mRML) estimators when T is either fixed or large, and N tends to infinity. We show that in the unit-root case, for any fixed...

We propose a novel dynamic mixture vector autoregressive (VAR) model in which time-varying mixture weights are driven by the predictive likelihood score. Intuitively, the state weight of the k-th component VAR model in the subsequent period is increased if the current observation is more likely...

We characterize the quasi-likelihood functions that may elicit expectiles and find that the family has a unique representation under standard conditions for linear regression. The only distribution that elicits expectiles as its quasi-maximum likelihood estimator under general conditions is an...

A new two-parameter model is proposed using the Kavya-Manoharan (KM) transformation family and Burr X (BX) distribution. The new model is called the Kavya-Manoharan-Burr X (KMBX) model. The statistical properties are obtained, involving the quantile (QU) function, moment (MOs), incomplete MOs,...

In this paper, we propose a new method for estimating and forecasting asymmetric stochastic volatility models. The proposal is based on dynamic linear models with Markov switching written as state space models. Then, the likelihood is calculated through Kalman filter outputs and the estimates...

This paper introduces a simulation algorithm for evaluating the log-likelihood function of a large supermodular binary-action game. Covered examples include (certain types of) peer effect, technology adoption, strategic network formation, and multi-market entry games. More generally, the...