Electoral accountability is a cornerstone of democratic governance, yet whether voters effectively punish corruption remains theoretically and empirically contested. While canonical models predict that corruption revelations reduce incumbent support, strategic voting considerations-especially...

We experimentally evaluate three behavioral models of expectation formation that predict overreaction to new information: overconfidence in private signals, misperceptions about the persistence of the data-generating process (DGP), and diagnostic expectations. In our main experiment,...

Electoral accountability is a cornerstone of democratic governance, yet whether voters effectively punish corruption remains theoretically and empirically contested. While canonical models predict that corruption revelations reduce incumbent support, strategic voting considerations-especially...

We experimentally evaluate three behavioral models of expectation formation that predict overreaction to new information: overconfidence in private signals, misperceptions about the persistence of the data-generating process (DGP), and diagnostic expectations. In our main experiment,...

A growing number of studies suggest that individuals are cynical about others' behavior. But these findings often rely on self-reported rather than actual behavior as benchmark. A well-documented limitation of self-reports is their tendency to overstate good behavior. I introduce a simple,...