Search Results - subject:"nowcasting"

Asymmetric uncertainty : nowcasting using skewness in real-time data

Labonne, Paul - In: International journal of forecasting 41 (2025) 1, pp. 229-250

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015440304

t+20 : ein Projekt zur Schnellschätzung von Konjunkturindikatoren

Yadegar, Edesa; Lange, Kerstin; Levagin, Bogdan; Oruc, … - In: Wirtschaft und Statistik : WISTA (2025) 3, pp. 57-73

Im Projekt t+20 des Statistischen Bundesamtes wurden Methoden untersucht, um Konjunkturindikatoren für das Verarbeitende Gewerbe beschleunigt bereitzustellen. Der Einsatz mikrodatenbasierter Modelle, darunter Imputationsmethoden und Maschinelles Lernen, sowie eines makrodatenbasierten...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015415699

t+20 – ein Projekt zur Schnellschätzung von Konjunkturindikatoren

Yadegar, Edesa; Lange, Kerstin; Levagin, Bogdan; Oruc, … - In: WISTA - Wirtschaft und Statistik 77 (2025) 3, pp. 57-73

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015420984

Beating the "pros" with a semi-structural model of their own inflation forecasts

Alves, Sergio Afonso Lago; Areosa, Waldyr Dutra; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015625414

Prévision, nowcasting et trimestrialisation du PIB au Tchad : une approche DFM bayésien

Fossouo, Armand - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015625814

Real-time nowcasting of Kyiv's regional GRP using Google trends and mixed-frequency data

Drin, Svitlana; Zhuravlova, Anastasiia - 2026

. These features make the direct application of standard regional nowcasting models infeasible. This paper develops a mixed … and incomplete regional indicators into the nowcasting of regional GDP. The model explicitly exploits the hierarchical … availability. A pseudo-real-time nowcasting exercise shows that conditioning regional GDP nowcasts on factor information derived …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015619191

Do anecdotes matter? : exploring the Beige Book through textual analysis from 1970 to 2025

Du, Shengwu; Haberkorn, Flora; Kitschelt, Isabel; Lee, … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015605570

Fiscal monitoring with VARs

Cimadomo, Jacopo; Giannone, Domenico; Lenza, Michele; … - 2026

We design a Bayesian Mixed-Frequency vector autoregression (VAR) model for fiscal monitoring, i.e., to nowcast the government deficit-to-GDP ratio in real time and provide a narrative for its dynamics. The model incorporates both monthly cash and quarterly accrual fiscal indicators, together...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015605598

Forecasting Kazakhstan's GDP based on a dynamic factor model with regularization

Akhmet, Alisher - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015609234

Direct Gaussian process predictive regressions with mixed frequency data : Niko Hauzenberger, Massimiliano Marcellino, Michael Pfarrhofer, Anna Stelzer

Hauzenberger, Niko; Marcellino, Massimiliano; … - 2026

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015609527