Statistics has been developing for almost 250 years - since the publication of an essay which included one theorem called Bayes´ after the author. This whole period (since 1763 to this day) has been accompanied by a duel between the supporters of a subjective concept of probability and those...

We present a new database of parliamentary debates and written answers in Dáil Éireann for the entire time period from the third Dáil in 1922 to the thirtieth Dáil in 2008. This database was built from the Official Records of the Houses of the Oireachtas. Unlike its original version, our...

We consider a multidimensional Ito process Y=(Y_t), t in [0,T], with some unknown drift coefficient process b_t and volatility coefficient sigma(X_t,theta) with covariate process X=(X_t), t in[0,T], the function sigma(x,theta) being known up to theta in Theta. For this model we consider a change...

Extreme value theory is the most scientific approach to an inherently difficult problem - predicting the possibility that an extreme event will occur. Broadly speaking, there are two kinds of models for extreme values. The first group of models are models for a distribution of normalized maximum...

In this paper, we formulate a RLOPF (risk-limiting optimal power flow) problem for systems with high penetration of wind power to address the issue of possibly violating the security constraints in power systems due to the volatility of wind power generations. To cope with the computational...