Search Results - subject:"probabilistic reasoning"

Cognitive heterogeneity and complex belief elicitation

Burfurd, Ingrid; Wilkening, Tom - In: Experimental economics : a journal of the Economic … 25 (2022) 2, pp. 557-592

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013184832

Analyzing data through probabilistic modeling in statistics

Jakâobczak, Dariusz Jacek (ed.) - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668722

Separating Bayesian updating from non-probabilistic reasoning: An experimental investigation

Levin, Dan; Peck, James; Ivanov, Asen - 2015

one's estimate of the value on having the highest bid. Both Bayesian updating skills and non-probabilistic reasoning …Through a series of decision tasks involving colored cards, we provide separate measures of Bayesian updating and non-probabilistic … reasoning skills. We apply these measures to (and are the first to study) a common-value Dutch auction. This format is more …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460783

Separating Bayesian updating from non-probabilistic reasoning : an experimental investigation

Levin, Dan; Peck, James; Ivanov, Asen - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405312

A sharp test of the portability of expertise

Green, Etan A.; Rao, Justin M.; Rothschild, David - In: Management science : journal of the Institute for … 65 (2019) 6, pp. 2820-2831

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039856

Game interrupted: The rationality of considering the future

Almy, Brandon; Krueger, Joachim I. - In: Judgment and Decision Making 8 (2013) 5, pp. 521-526

The ``problem of points'', introduced by Paccioli in 1494 and solved by Pascal and Fermat 160 years later, inspired the modern concept of probability. Incidentally, the problem also shows that rational decision-making requires the consideration of future events. We show that naive responses to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010696605

Knowledge Processing Using EKRL for Robotic Applications

Adjali, Omar; Ramdane-Cherif, Amar - In: International Journal of Cognitive Informatics and … 11 (2017) 4, pp. 1-21

with probabilistic reasoning based on Markov logic networks to manage uncertainty. …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012043692

Improving accuracy on Bayesian inference problems using a brief tutorial

Talboy, Alaina N.; Schneider, Sandra L. - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 30 (2017) 2, pp. 373-388

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011634076

Measuring probabilistic reasoning : the construction of a new scale applying item response theory

Primi, Caterina; Morsanyi, Kinga; Donati, Maria Anna; … - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 30 (2017) 4, pp. 933-950

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011805828

Die‐by framing both lengthens and shortens life : further evidence on constructed beliefs in life expectancy

Comerford, David A.; Robinson, Jenny - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 30 (2017) 5, pp. 1104-1112

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011806051