Given data on a scalar random variable 𝑌, a prediction set for 𝑌 with miscoverage level 𝛼 is a set of values for 𝑌 that contains a randomly drawn 𝑌 with probability 1 − 𝛼, where 𝛼 ∈ (0, 1). Among all prediction sets that satisfy this coverage property, the oracle...

Background: Although mega-dams play a significant role in development, providing electricity, irrigation, and flood control, perceptions of their contribution remain mixed, particularly regarding the environmental impacts. Methods: This study jointly determines perceived favorable and adverse...

We develop testable implications for the identifying assumptions of Tobit and IV-Tobit models: linear index, (joint) normality of errors, treatment (instrument) exogeneity, and relevance. The new testable equalities can detect all possible observable violations of the identifying conditions. The...

Predictive modeling has been widely used for insurance rate making. In this paper, we focus on insurance claim count data and address their common issues with more flexible modeling techniques. In particular, we study the zero-inflated and hurdle-generalized Poisson and negative binomial...