The process of constructing impulse-response functions (IRFs) and forecast-error variance decompositions (FEVDs) for a structural vector autoregression (SVAR) usually involves a factorization of an estimate of the error-term variance-covariance matrix V. Examining residuals from a monetary VAR,...

This paper applies Johansen’s vector error-correction model (VECM) to investigate for the existence of the dividend signalling effect in the Singapore aggregate market through impulse response analysis, forecast error variance decomposition and granger-causality test. Our findings show that a...

International capital flows represents one of the key aspect of the globalisation process and refers to the continuous relieving the cross-border capital allocation barriers reflecting in huge increase in the common financial connections among the countries during the last decades. Flows of the...

International capital flows represents one of the key aspect of the globalisation process and refers to the continuous relieving the cross-border capital allocation barriers reflecting in huge increase in the common financial connections among the countries during the last decades. Flows of the...

Exchange rates in the European transition economies are currently exposed to the exogenous shocks as a result of higher uncertainty on the foreign exchange markets related to the various kinds of world economic crisis implications. Higher vulnerability of exchange rates of these countries to the...

Exchange rates in the European transition economies are currently exposed to the exogenous shocks as a result of higher uncertainty on the foreign exchange markets related to the various kinds of world economic crisis implications. Higher vulnerability of exchange rates of these countries to the...

Ehrmann et al. (2003) proposed an IRF in the frame of Markov- Switching structurally VARs. Their IRF provides insights on the dynamics within the regime in which the shock occurs. We propose an IRF that captures the global response of the system and illustrate its use with examples.

We propose a methodology extending the structural VAR approach to nonlinear Markov-Switching framework. We present the exact IRFs and discuss their properties as regards the different types of asymmetries (sign, size, state) and assumptions on transition probabilities. We propose a statistical...