Population forecasts are crucial for many social, political and economic decisions. Official population projections rely in general on deterministic models which use different scenarios for future vital rates to indicate uncertainty. However, this technique shows substantial weak points such as...

We show that long memory in economic growth occurs due to the existence of stochastic memory in population growth. Conventional stationary assumption of population growth in economic growth models is relaxed and convergence properties of slowly decaying demographic shocks are examined in light...

This article assesses the nexus between (components of) population and economic development from cliometric perspective. Based on stationary assumption, Kelley and Schmidt (hereafter KS, 1995) while showed that only demographic variables render robust explanation of economic growth, KS(2001)...

Annual population growth rate in Turkey is as high as 1.1 per cent, while many EU countries have shrinking, and hence ageing, populations. In this paper we consider an age-structured population that consists of female natives and Turkish immigrants into the EU. Immigrants’ fertility and...