Die zuletzt hohe Inflation hat die staatlichen Budgets vorrübergehend entlastet. GängigeSchätzverfahren zur Konjunkturbereinigung dürften die grundlegende Haushaltslagedadurch temporär zu günstig zeichnen. Das gilt auch für die Konjunkturbereinigung in derdeutschen Schuldenbremse des...

We investigate whether the boosted HP filter (bHP) proposed by Phillips and Shi (2021) might be preferred for New Zealand trend and growth cycle analysis, relative to using the standard HP filter (HP1600). We do this for a representative range of quarterly macroeconomic time series typically...

This documentation concisely describes the dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model that the ifo Institute currently uses for simulations and business-cycle analysis. The model consists of three countries and contains a wide range of rigidities. The model is regularly estimated by quarterly...