Geopolitics is an overarching characteristic of much of this outlook for the key themes in the global energy economy in 2025. The start of Donald Trump’s second term in the White House will herald new pressures to multiple layers of the global economy, from trade to labour, monetary policy to...

This study examines the simultaneous relationships among oil prices, oil volatility, and two sub-sectors within alternative energy stocks: renewable energy equipment (REE) and alternative fuels (AF). The results confirm the existence of a bidirectional relationship. While most alternative energy...

To reduce funds for Russia’s Ukraine invasion, Western governments imposed a price ceiling on Russian seaborne oil exports using Western services. To sell above that ceiling, Russia developed a “shadow fleet” which uses no such services. We use a calibrated model driven by this fleet’s...

This study investigates the time-varying return spillovers among the gold and oil markets and the Chinese equity subsectors using a network system representation. The results of the statics analysis show that crude oil and the majority of equity sectors are the net transmitters of spillovers in...

For the last 50 years or so, the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) has been the central pillar of economic thought and the building block of portfolio theory. However, the validity of the EMH still remains controversial, and the methods of testing for market efficiency have been criticised. This...