Developing Asia has achieved remarkable economic growth in the last several decades but faces challenges moving from middle-income to high-income status. This paper examines the macroeconomic impacts of future productivity growth in developing Asia on the region and the world, focusing on the...

Which region(s) will come to dominate the world economy? This paper develops the Global Gaidar Model (GGM), a 17-region, 2-skills, 100-period OLG model, to address this and other questions. The model is carefully calibrated to 2017 UN demographic and IMF fiscal data. Productivity growth and its...

[enter Abstract Body]This paper shows a new methodology to observe mathematically and graphically the vulnerability of the world economy in case of a pandemic (COVID-19) or war (Russian-Ukraine War). The main objective of this research is to evaluate the economic damage levels generated from war...

Global warming is a worldwide and protracted phenomenon with heterogeneous local economic effects. In order to evaluate the aggregate and local economic consequences of higher temperatures, we propose a dynamic economic assessment model of the world economy with high spatial resolution. Our...