The decline in international trade following the financial crisis suggests a shift in globalisation and a transformation of the international economic order. Protectionist trade policies have gained prominence as certain major economies increasingly implement tariffs to safeguard domestic...

This study investigates the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on non-performing loans (NPLs), using a unique bank-by-bank dataset on lending to FX hedged and FX unhedged borrowers. Employing fixed effects and panel quantile regression, we analyze how changes in exchange rate affect the NPL...

We extend a quantitative general equilibrium model of global trade networks to evaluate the economic impacts of various trade disruptions. Our analysis considers scenarios such as US-China trade wars, a broader Cold War 2.0 decoupling, Trump-era tariffs, and disruptions in the trade of critical...