We consider the applicability of simple statistical models to Russia's short-term economic trends in a wartime context. We develop several composite indicators combining economic variables to predict Russian GDP trends both before and after the invasion if Ukraine in 2022. In addition, our SVAR...

Investor sentiment is the result of irrational speculations about the future asset values driven by the market participants. Though scholarly works on investor sentiment are evolving in both developed and emerging markets, the literature in the Indian context is relatively modest. To fill this...

The disruption of supply chain due to Covid-19 and the war in Ukraine, render the prediction of agricultural output a determinant factor of economic life. We consider the predictability of agricultural output based on a set of explanatory variables, that include agricultural input, prices and...