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Year of publication
Subject
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Prognose Geldpolitik 41 Monetary policy 35 monetary policy 29 Wirkungsanalyse 18 Impact assessment 17 Inflation 16 Schock 16 Theorie 16 Shock 15 Theory 13 USA 13 Federal Reserve 11 Central bank 10 VAR model 10 VAR-Modell 10 Zentralbank 10 Gruppenentscheidung 9 Business cycle 8 EU countries 8 EU-Staaten 8 United States 8 Welt 8 spillovers 8 Euro area 7 Eurozone 7 Geldpolitische Transmission 7 Konjunktur 7 Monetary transmission 7 World 7 Coronavirus 6 Kapitalimport 6 Political communication 6 Politische Kommunikation 6 Schätzung 6 business cycle 6 central bank communication 6 expectations 6 uncertainty 6 unconventional monetary policy 6
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Online availability
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Free 7
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 7
Subcategories
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Working paper 7
Language
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English
Author
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Tillmann, Peter Pierdzioch, Christian 11 Gupta, Rangan 10 Bratu, Mihaela 8 Rossi, Barbara 8 Timmermann, Allan 8 Wolfers, Justin 8 Baghestani, Hamid 6 Song, Haiyan 6 Zitzewitz, Eric 6 Breinlich, Holger 5 Cuñat, Alejandro 5 Diebold, Francis X. 5 Franses, Philip Hans 5 Kulendran, Nada 5 Turner, Lindsay W. 5 Clements, Michael P. 4 Fernando, Hubert 4 Ruelke, Jan-Christoph 4 Ali, Ashiq 3 Benvenuti, Michele 3 Boyle, Glenn W. 3 Castle, Jennifer 3 Chang, Andrew C. 3 Ciampi, Francesco 3 Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús 3 Croux, Christophe 3 Demirer, Rıza 3 Easaw, Joshy Z. 3 Elliott, Graham 3 Engsted, Tom 3 Foltas, Alexander 3 Granger, C. W. J. 3 Hendry, David F. 3 Heravi, Saeed M. 3 Hillebrand, Eric 3 Härdle, Wolfgang 3 Jalles, João Tovar 3 Jones, Stewart 3 Jumah, Adusei 3
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Published in...
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Joint discussion paper series in economics : publ. by the Universities of Aachen, Gießen, Göttingen, Kassel, Marburg, Siegen 4 MAGKS Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics 3
Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 4 EconStor 3
Showing 1 - 4 of 4
 
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Using forecasts to uncover the loss function of FOMC members
Pierdzioch, Christian; Ruelke, Jan-Christoph; Tillmann, … - 2013
We revisit the sources of the bias in Federal Reserve forecasts and assess whether a precautionary motive can explain the forecast bias. In contrast to the existing literature, we use forecasts submitted by individual FOMC members to uncover members' implicit loss function. Our key finding is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009692667
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Reputation and forecast revisions : evidence from the FOMC
Tillmann, Peter - 2011
This paper investigates how FOMC members revise their forecasts for key macroeconomic variables. Based on a new data set of forecasts from individual FOMC members between 1992 and 2000 it is shown that FOMC members intentionally overrevise their forecasts at the first revision and underrevise at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009231373
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Reputation and forecast revisions: Evidence from the FOMC
Tillmann, Peter - 2011
Book / Working Paper
Cover Image
Strategic forecasting on the FOMC
Tillmann, Peter - 2010
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve consists of voting- and non-voting members. Apart from deciding about interest rate policy, members individually formulate regular inflation forecasts. This paper uncovers systematic differences in individual inflation forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003962970
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Strategic forecasting on the FOMC
Tillmann, Peter - 2010
Book / Working Paper
Cover Image
Monetary policy committees and model uncertainty
Tillmann, Peter - 2010
We introduce heterogeneity into a monetary policy committee by allowing the degree of model uncertainty to differ across members. It is shown that in this framework the stage at which members reach consensus matters. An aggregation protocol under which members only average policy deemed optimal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003980593
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Monetary policy committees and model uncertainty
Tillmann, Peter - 2010
Book / Working Paper
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