Search Results - Business Economics

Inflation expectations and a conservative central banker : evidence from a natural experiment

Grebe, Moritz; Tillmann, Peter - 2025

This paper studies the response of inflation expectations to an exogenous shift in central bank preferences. We use the unexpected announcement of the resignation of Jens Weidmann, the president of the Deutsche Bundesbank, in 2021 as a natural experiment constituting a rare case of an exogenous...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015643161

News shock spillovers: How the euro area responds to expected fed policy

Rudel, Paul; Tillmann, Peter - 2024

improves sentiment and business cycle expectations in the euro area, which is consistent with the notion of the Fed revealing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015046540

The FOMC attention cycle

Finck, David; Tillmann, Peter - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015046576

News shock spillovers : how the euro area responds to expected fed policy

Rudel, Paul; Tillmann, Peter - 2024

improves sentiment and business cycle expectations in the euro area, which is consistent with the notion of the Fed revealing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014637094

The FOMC attention cycle

Finck, David; Tillmann, Peter - 2024

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014637109

Fiscal policy in the Bundestag: Textual analysis and macroeconomic effects

Latifi, Albina; Naboka-Krell, Viktoriia; Tillmann, Peter; … - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374482

Not all ECB meetings are created equal

Kandemir, Sinem; Tillmann, Peter - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374608

Uncertainty about the war in Ukraine: Measurement and effects on the German business cycle

Grebe, Moritz; Kandemir, Sinem; Tillmann, Peter - 2023

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374630

Fiscal policy in the Bundestag : textual analysis and macroeconomic effects

Latifi, Albina; Naboka-Krell, Viktoriia; Tillmann, Peter; … - 2023

Fiscal policy is made in parliament. We go to the roots of changes of fiscal policy in Germany and use a novel data set on all parliamentary speeches in the Bundestag from 1960 to 2021. We propose an embedding-based approach, which allows the representation of words and documents in a shared...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013554877

Uncertainty about the war in Ukraine : measurement and effects on the German business cycle

Grebe, Moritz; Kandemir, Sinem; Tillmann, Peter - 2023

We assemble a data set of more that eight million German Twitter posts related to the war in Ukraine. Based on state-of-the-art methods of text analysis, we construct a daily index of uncertainty about the war as perceived by German Twitter. The approach also allows us to separate this index...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014286314