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The Guaranteed Minimum Maturity Benefit is quite a popular feature embedded in several unit-linked policies offered by insurance companies. The value of this benefit depends on several processes assumed to describe both the mortality and the financial dynamics, typically represented by interest...
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Stochastic mortality models seek to forecast future mortality rates; thus, it is apparent that the objective variable should be the mortality rate expressed in the original scale. However, the performance of stochastic mortality models-in terms, that is, of their goodness-of-fit and prediction...
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We introduce an additive stochastic mortality model which allows joint modelling and forecasting of underlying death causes. Parameter families for mortality trends can be chosen freely. As model settings become high dimensional, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for parameter estimation....
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In this paper, we present extensions of the Hatzopoulos-Sagianou (2020) (HS) multiple-component stochastic mortality model. Our aim is to thoroughly evaluate and stress test the HS model by deploying various link functions, using generalised linear models, and diverse distributions in the...
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