In this paper, we examine the influence of unpredictable aid on a recipient’s economic growth. If aid amounts vary by year and the changes are unpredictable, we expect that this “unpredictability” decreases aid’s growth-enhancing effect. This naturally raises the questions: How large is...

Whereas economic growth and business cycles have received significant attention in the literature, they are typically examined separately. However, recent studies have found a causality in which short-term output volatility affects economic growth (volatility-growth causality). In contrast, in...