Showing 1 - 10 of 853
increased, we find that, as of September 2002, with the exception of Japan, there is no evidence of substantial deflation risks …. We also put the estimates of deflation risk for the United States, Germany and Japan into historical perspective. We find … that only for Japan there is evidence of deflation risks that are unusually high by historical standards. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123620
We study the contribution of the stock of money to the macroeconomic outcomes of the 1990s in Japan using a small scale … stagnation and the long deflation are driven by different causes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008557013
occurs when unwanted deflation needs to be prevented or combated, but the central bank’s conventional monetary arsenal is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662197
Inflation is a far from homogeneous phenomenon, a fact often neglected in modelling consumer price inflation. This study, the first of its kind for an emerging market country, investigates gains to inflation forecast accuracy by aggregating weighted forecasts of the sub-component price indices,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008553067
This paper documents some stylized facts on evolving UK Phillips curves, and shows how these differ from their US versions. We interpret UK Phillips curve dynamics in a positive theory of monetary policy - how policy-maker attitudes on the Phillips curve have evolved since the 1950s - rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067633
This paper introduces a new indicator of core inflation for New Zealand, estimated using a dynamic factor model and disaggregate consumer price data. Using disaggregate consumer price data we can directly compare the predictive performance of our core indicator with a wide range of other ‘core...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656226
should be common or that a policy close to the Friedman rule and thus some deflation is optimal. Finally, a formal ‘baby …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005788876
After an absence of almost half a century, the spectre of deflation is once again haunting the corridors of central … banks and finance ministries in the industrial world. While preventing or combating deflation poses some unique difficulties … not present in preventing or combating inflation, deflation can be prevented and, if it has taken hold, can be overcome …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666933
The New Keynesian Phillips Curve is at the centre of two raging empirical debates. First, how can purely forward looking pricing account for the observed persistence in aggregate inflation. Second, price-setting responds to movements in marginal costs, which should therefore be the driving force...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662190
It is difficult to obtain reliable measures of evolving openness to trade, despite its relevance to models of growth, inflation and exchange rates. Our innovative technique measures trade openness encompassing both observable trade policy (tariffs and surcharges) and unobservable trade policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666569