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Theoretical models of investment under uncertainty predict that the sign and the strength of the investment-uncertainty … investment and the market power of the firm. This paper investigates the effects of uncertainty on the investment decisions of a …. Consistent with the predictions of the theory, there is considerable heterogeneity in the effect of uncertainty on investment: it …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123802
We provide theoretical and empirical evidence that policy uncertainty can significantly affect firm level investment … and entry decisions in the context of international trade. When market entry costs are sunk, policy uncertainty can create … a real option value of waiting to enter foreign markets until conditions improve or uncertainty is resolved. Using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083993
This Paper investigates the empirical relationship between uncertainty and investment dynamics. This is motivated by … can be detected as a smaller impact of sales growth on investment for firms facing higher uncertainty. Using a stock … the real options literature, which suggests a weaker response of investment to demand shocks at higher levels of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666662
We consider optimal monetary stabilization policy in a New Keynesian model with explicit microfoundations, when the central bank recognizes that private-sector expectations need not be precisely model-consistent, and wishes to choose a policy that will be as good as possible in the case of any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083361
Instrumental variable estimation requires untestable exclusion restrictions. With policy effects on individual outcomes, there is typically a time interval between the moment the agent realizes that he may be exposed to the policy and the actual exposure or the announcement of the actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792073
We investigate the "law of small numbers" using a unique panel data set on lotto gambling. Because we can track individual players over time, we can measure how they react to outcomes of recent lotto drawings. We can therefore test whether they behave as if they believe they can predict lotto...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008925716
correlated with the cross-sectional dispersion of investment innovations; 6) measures of firm-idiosyncratic risk have sizeable …Firms expect certain investment expenditures. Firms realize certain investment expenditures. The difference is an … investment surprise. With the help of the IFO Investment Survey for the German manufacturing sector we measure firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084608
the US. Their work suggests private sector expenditure (investment) on intangibles is about 13% (11%) of US GDP 1998 …-2000, with intangible investment about equal to tangible capital investment. Our work, using a similar method, suggests the UK … private sector spent, in 2004, about £127bn on intangibles, which is about 11% of UK GDP. The implied investment figure is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005656338
’ because the tax liability is offset by a reduction in the post-tax risk of the investment. The Paper argues that this claim is … investment incentives in the presence of risk. Instead it proposes an alternative measure, based on the market value of the pre …This Paper re-examines the impact of capital income taxes on the incentive to invest in the presence of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666854
This Paper shows how microeconomic data on investment plans can be used to study the structure of risk faced by firms … micro shocks are not the dominant source of risk in investment decisions, and that much of the observed micro variation is … investment risk, and they do not appear to be liquidity-constrained. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791830