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policymakers at the time both had an overly optimistic view of the natural rate of unemployment and put a high priority on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468541
of unemployment is affected by the inflation rate. Looking at four countries, France, Germany, the Netherlands and … Switzerland, the Paper reports some preliminary evidence that the long-run rate of unemployment is a non-linear function of … ‘grease’ to the price and wage setting process. In particular, the long-run rate of unemployment is found to reach a maximum …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791256
A central tenet of inflation targeting is that establishing and maintaining well-anchored inflation expectations are essential. In this paper, we reexamine the role of key elements of the inflation targeting framework towards this end, in the context of an economy where economic agents have an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791794
We study the determination of Irish inflation between 1926 and 2012. The difference between unemployment and the NAIRU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011272719
We argue that firms’ balance sheets were instrumental in the propagation of shocks during the Great Recession. Using establishment-level data, we show that firms that tightened their debt capacity in the run-up (“high-leverage firms”) exhibit a significantly larger decline in employment in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011252614
Germany experienced an even deeper fall in GDP in the Great Recession than the United States, with little employment loss. Employers’ reticence to hire in the preceding expansion, associated in part with a lack of confidence it would last, contributed to an employment shortfall equivalent to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009246610
the indirect wage effect resulting from lower unemployment risks and shorter spells in unemployment associated with higher … accounting for the effects of unemployment on individual wages using EU-SILC data. Across countries we find a high variation of … the effect of education on unemployment duration. Overall, the returns to education are estimated to be the highest in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293660
This paper develops a theory characterizing the effects of fiscal policy on unemployment over the business cycle. The … theory is based on a model of equilibrium unemployment in which jobs are rationed in recessions. Fiscal policy in the form of … government spending on public-sector jobs reduces unemployment, especially during recessions: the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324257
and the unemployment rate in U.S. data since 1929. Second, it compares a new model of the economy developed in recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009351524
The Friedman rule states that steady-state welfare is maximized when there is deflation at the real rate of interest. Recent work by Khan et al. (2003) uses a richer model but still finds deflation optimal. In an otherwise standard new Keynesian model we show that, if households have hyperbolic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009643503